grid capital logo
under construction — please contact +1 970 452 16 46

Stepped back from the highs

Last week, major US indices lost about 1%. Investors were evaluating the new portion of the quarterly reports of companies, statistics and the speech of the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The first half of the week was successful. The Nasdaq 100 managed to test a new all-time high at 15,000 points. The S&P 500 came close to the level of 4,400 points. However, on Thursday and Friday, the indicators lost all growth and corrected. June inflation data and the spread of a new strain of coronavirus have put pressure on asset values ​​around the world. In our opinion, it is too early to talk about a global correction. From a technical point of view, American indicators look pretty confident. In addition, a successful 2Q corporate reporting season can bring many surprises to investor sentiment.

In June, the pace of US consumer price increases peaked in nearly 13 years as the economic recovery picks up steam. The CPI jumped 5.4% compared to June last year. Prices excluding food and energy (Core CPI) in June increased 4.5% year-on-year, a record rise since November 1991. Statistics released Thursday showed that US jobless claims fell last week in line with forecast. The volume of industrial production in the United States in June increased by 0.4% from the previous month, according to data from the Federal Reserve System. Analysts polled by Trading Economics predicted an average growth of 0.6%.

Apple surprised with record quarterly revenue

Apple increased its net profit by 93%, the revenue was a record for 3 financial quarters. Apple increased its fiscal third quarter net income by 93% and revenue by 36%, both of which beat market forecasts. Apple’s revenue was $ 81.43 billion and was a record for the third financial quarter. The consensus forecast of experts for this indicator was $ 73.34 billion. The company showed record revenue figures in all geographic segments and double-digit revenue growth rates in each product category. Net income for the quarter ended June 26 was $ 21.74 billion, up from $ 11.25 billion in the third quarter of the previous fiscal year. Earnings per share increased to $ 1.3 from $ 0.65, beating the market consensus of $ 1.01.

Wine is gaining popularity

We begin coverage of Vintage Wine Estates. We believe that, driven by strong M&A activities, double-digit revenue growth and market share growth will continue in the medium term, allowing the company to invest the generated cash flows in business development. VWE expects to increase its Adjusted EBITDA margin by more than 1,000 basis points to 25.9% between 2020-2023. The increase in gross profitability from capital expenditures will be supported by mergers and acquisitions that increase margins, as the last deal had an adjusted EBITDA margin of 60%.